New Zealand election 2026 live results: Labour draws level with National as count continues in close race

<gu-island deferuntil="visible" name="KeyEventsCarousel" priority="feature" props="{"keyEvents":[{"id":"6aef0e0c8f08c30857a846b6","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Thanks for following the blog tonight. The election has ended without a clear winner. Here are the top news lines from what will go down as one of New Zealand's closest elections in many decades</strong>.</p>","elementId":"c8ddcc6b-0316-442d-8bb4-c25037bd3ffc"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<ul>n <li>n <p><strong>Christopher Luxon's National party and its right-leaning coalition partners are on the brink of a wafer-thin majority</strong> that could allow it to eke out a return to power.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p>The <strong>left-wing bloc, led by Labour's Chris Hipkins, fell short of a majority</strong>.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p><strong>Neither Luxon or Hipkins claimed victory or conceded defeat</strong>. Both acknowledged an expected wait before a governing coalition is negotiated.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p><strong>A centrist newcomer, the Opportunity party, have entered parliament, polling above the 5% threshold</strong>. They could potentially be a kingmaker in a coalition.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p><strong>Final results are expected on 27 November</strong>. Coalition talks will likely take weeks.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p>Hundreds of thousands of <strong>special votes are yet to be counted and could change the shape of parliament</strong>.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p>Saturday figures showed <strong>there could be a 130-seat parliament</strong>, with 66 seats needed for a majority.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p>Results suggested a coalition of National, Act and NZ First would hold 67 seats.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p>The 67 included 42 for National, 13 for Act and 12 for NZ First.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p>The left-bloc totalled 56 seats: Labour 35, Greens 16 and 5 for Te PÄti MÄori.</p>n </li>n <li>n <p>Opportunity is projected to gain 7 seats.</p>n </li>n</ul>","elementId":"49abb6c2-a1d2-4487-8475-69a818e0c390"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.InteractiveAtomBlockElement","css":"@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff2) 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<em>However</em>, special votes are still to be counted and the lay of the land will not be clear until 27 November.</p>","elementId":"aa589a5a-2b3e-4edc-8b64-f135fcfd34a8"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>National 42, Act 13, NZ First 12 = 67</strong></p>","elementId":"3e6e86a3-57b5-4c9d-9b77-92796030668c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Labour 35, Greens 16, Te PÄti MÄori 5 = 56</strong></p>","elementId":"b736333d-7bed-4491-840a-1c4cde711d84"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Opportunity 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to tell New Zealanders that well established caretaker conventions apply … The daily business of government will continue.â€</p>","elementId":"0b4a9a78-f9d2-4749-a079-6f417cb8eee5"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Caretaker convention basically means that while a new government is being formed, the incumbent government is in “caretaker†mode, which means it will carry on the normal business of governing.</p>","elementId":"961c66f1-b18d-493a-88f8-58eb14851936"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794050125000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"11.15 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794050306000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"11.18 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794050307000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"11.18 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"11.18","title":"Government ‘caretaker conventions’ will apply","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aef058e8f08975ecf4b5f2b","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Luxon has called tonight's result “an MMP special†and says “on the numbers so far, National is once again the largest party in parliamentâ€.</p>","elementId":"5afdfb13-9f40-464a-a0a4-026ea41670dc"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794049422000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"11.03 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794049549000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"11.05 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794049498000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"11.04 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"11.04","title":"Luxon calls the vote ‘an MMP special’","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeef5558f08c30857a8463a","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>With 85% of votes counted</strong>, 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A difference of 6,740 votes.</p>","elementId":"e3df17e6-b884-414d-ac03-6148dc937f67"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Jamie Tahana</strong> says the collapse of the two major parties – the ‘purple' vote – is feeding record numbers for the smaller parties, including <strong>Act, NZ First </strong>and the<strong> Greens</strong>.</p>","elementId":"e7f3fd30-2e79-4368-8d0d-9e3c1e2b2b55"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The newcomers, <strong>Opportunity</strong>, still look like they'll be entering parliament for the first time, on 5.89%.</p>","elementId":"25c2dcbd-3f11-40a9-973f-ee0fdd15664d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>In tonight's other tight race, <strong>the Kiwis lead Tonga 12-10</strong> at half time in the Rugby League World Cup semifinal.</p>","elementId":"7014734a-69be-4c7c-8182-008296c741ff"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794045269000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"09.54 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794045561000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"09.59 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794045439000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"09.57 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"09.57","title":"National 0.3% ahead of Labour with 85% of vote counted","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeeee678f082a3892f69ff9","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Did we mention this was a close election?</p>","elementId":"e3abc55c-e535-4de6-8161-6d3c7d7e035c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>With 76% of the vote counted, <strong>Jamie Tahana</strong> has clocked that <strong>National's aptly named Ryan Hamilton leads Labour's Georgie Dansey by one vote</strong>. One. Vote.</p>","elementId":"d6d8ea8b-66dd-4863-9260-569abb2945dd"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Hamilton East</strong>, which makes up half of New Zealand's fourth largest city, is an important bellwether and has tightened over the night.</p>","elementId":"1befd1ad-7d6e-4622-8daa-8ea84006c3de"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794043495000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"09.24 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794043664000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"09.27 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794043664000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"09.27 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"09.27","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeeedf18f08c30857a84620","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Time for numbers. <strong>With 75% of the party vote 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senior MPs, Nicola Willis and Paul Goldsmith, arrived at the party's event just after 9.30pm, where they told media they were unlikely to return to parliament.</strong></p>","elementId":"38a616ba-8ff7-436f-874c-151b06454914"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>On current numbers, National has secured more electorate seats than their party vote, meaning there will be no room for MPs who don't win their electorate or are running as list-only MPs to enter parliament.</p>","elementId":"d477bcc7-5c34-435d-8f6f-aba8667918df"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Willis</strong>, who was finance minister, and <strong>Goldsmith</strong>, who was justice minister, appeared downcast as they reckoned with their 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At the same time I feel immense gratitude for the opportunity I have had to serve as minister of finance in Luxon's government,†Willis said.</p>","elementId":"5c2cd561-3fa7-4f40-9efe-24753b6adbb2"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>When asked how she felt about several top ministers at risk of being out of a job, <strong>Willis said she was confident in the remaining team. </strong></p>","elementId":"098e63f0-5081-4456-b317-819902c383b7"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Goldsmith said politics was “a rough business†but he was proud of his achievements.</p>","elementId":"7f208e94-5a48-4a03-9a03-125453fc4134"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>“Ultimately, it's the people who get to 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Davidson said the party had seen a “Green wave†of MÄori support.</p>","elementId":"b48071de-5836-4eb6-866e-79c600455512"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>“It looks like about 40% of voters in the MÄori seats have placed their trust in us and we do not take that lightly,†she said.</p>","elementId":"8ca93ff0-805b-4984-8f41-39bc02302b28"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>That's true. The party is second in party votes in all seven MÄori electorates, trailing Labour.</p>","elementId":"4d560772-f304-407d-b6c7-633b8d2dc089"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>That could show MÄori voters heeding Te PÄti MÄori's call for its supporters to not give them their party vote, just their electorate vote. 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Party’s Chlöe Swarbrick and Marama Davidson laugh and cheer with a supporter at election event","caption":"Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick (R) and Green Party co-leader Marama Davidson arrive at the Green Party's election night event at St Matthew-in-the-City.","credit":"Photograph: Hannah Peters/Getty Images"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794042362000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"09.06 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794042804000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"09.13 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794042559000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"09.09 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"09.09","title":"’Green wave’ of MÄori support","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeeea428f08c30857a8461a","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Big news. <strong>Finance minister Nicola Willis has conceded she won't be back in parliament, given how poorly National is doing in the party vote</strong>.</p>","elementId":"b84f4801-b5d2-4c50-b27c-670a8789e9e4"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>More on this soon. <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/nov/07/nz-general-election-2026-live-updates-results-new-zealand-polls?page=with%3Ablock-6ae985ab8f08a13aa5d0eb7e#block-6ae985ab8f08a13aa5d0eb7e">And some context here</a>.</p>","elementId":"aea25688-94f4-4261-af1d-c6434378e683"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794042434000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"09.07 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794042684000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"09.11 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794042500000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"09.08 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"09.08","title":"Finance minister Nicola Willis won’t be back in parliament","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeee4798f082a3892f69fda","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>More numbers, <strong>52% of the vote counted</strong>. It's so close.</p>","elementId":"a1d1ed9d-52d8-4caf-ae6f-4f0db79fe269"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Labour 29.5%, National 29.4%, Greens 13.8%, Act 10.8%, NZ First 9.6%, Opportunity 5.6%, Te PÄti MÄori 0.6%.</strong></p>","elementId":"19cbffb7-38cb-4529-992e-87520ef5f7b8"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794040953000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"08.42 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794041944000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"08.59 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794041057000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"08.44 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"08.44","title":"So close with 52% of vote counted","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeedbb88f082a3892f69fb2","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>More numbers, folks! With <strong>35% of the vote counted</strong>:n <br>n <br>n <strong>Labour just ahead with 29.9%, National 29.4%, Greens 14.1%, Act 10.5%, NZ First 9.4%, Opportunity 5.4%, Te PÄti MÄori 0.6%.</strong></p>","elementId":"9e5ae8b8-2350-4a0a-9705-7724782d518c"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":false,"summary":true},"blockCreatedOn":1794038712000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"08.05 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794038922000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"08.08 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794038832000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"08.07 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"08.07","title":"Labour just ahead with 35% of vote counted","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeed9598f08c30857a845d4","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>More on that <strong>Qiulae Wong</strong> speech 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Party leader Qiulae Wong","credit":"Photograph: Phil Walter/Getty Images"}}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":false,"summary":true},"blockCreatedOn":1794038105000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"07.55 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794038638000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"08.03 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794038235000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"07.57 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"07.57","title":"’Very likely’ Opportunity will make history tonight: Qiulae Wong","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeed5d68f08c30857a845cd","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>More numbers. <strong>This is how the seats in parliament add up with 29% of the vote counted</strong>.</p>","elementId":"5ae0655d-b065-4eac-bb07-395a73228572"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><em>Based on this,</em> Opportunity would be kingmaker. <em>But</em>, still a long way to go.</p>","elementId":"9321e487-1192-4fe6-b42e-08c8fdc4d6d5"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>National 41, Act 13, NZ First 11 = 65 seats</strong></p>","elementId":"f1350a92-684b-4439-9f4b-24711408de05"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Labour 36, Greens 17, Te PÄti MÄori 5 = 58 seats</strong></p>","elementId":"04dacb86-6143-46c1-8de1-cfbf2ed1989a"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Opportunity 7</strong></p>","elementId":"6fed0937-3039-49c7-bf06-25bbbcb6f52f"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>There are 130 seats in parliament with the overhang on these numbers. For more on the overhang issue, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/nov/07/nz-general-election-2026-live-updates-results-new-zealand-polls?page=with%3Ablock-6aee92218f08c30857a84526#block-6aee92218f08c30857a84526">read here</a>.</p>","elementId":"e2112333-1b9d-460a-b8f8-17cdd1476ca2"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794037206000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"07.40 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794037787000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"07.49 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794037429000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"07.43 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"07.43","title":"Right bloc just ahead with 29% of vote counted","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeed0168f08975ecf4b5e57","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>More numbers for you</strong>, now it's 25% of the vote counted and …</p>","elementId":"57b54148-cf9b-4fcf-90e9-92fb74a8f758"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Labour and National are tied!</p>","elementId":"355f1a67-d6d7-45e6-a949-0776563bbdea"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Labour 29.7%, National 29.7%, Greens 13.8%, Act 10.6%, NZ First 9.5%, Opportunity 5.4%, Te PÄti MÄori 0.5%.</strong></p>","elementId":"b85a96a4-cf36-4d42-9a8e-4c56abc27926"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":false,"summary":true},"blockCreatedOn":1794035734000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"07.15 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794035899000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"07.18 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794035900000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"07.18 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"07.18","title":"National and Labour tied with 25% of vote counted","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aee95338f08c30857a84536","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Who is the Opportunity Party, this year's potential kingmaker?</strong></p>","elementId":"aee6e507-3d84-4c35-be2f-4aa36cf1fc1f"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Opinion polls in the lead up the election showed the Opportunity party, led by businesswoman <strong>Qiulae Wong, 38,</strong> clearing the 5% threshold to become kingmaker.</p>","elementId":"dfdab3a5-dc33-4bbd-8f49-154398e97ebb"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>The<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/26/new-zealand-election-voters-despair-main-parties-and-opportunity-knocks"> centrist minor party</a>, whose policies include <strong>a land tax and a $370 a week universal basic income</strong>, says it is looking to “market-driven solutions†while being committed to a low-emission future and evidence-based policy.</p>","elementId":"3e1b9f69-e780-4729-9464-29ffc981af1d"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Opportunity will negotiate first with the party that secures the highest number of 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GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeecb6b8f082a3892f69f7d","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>More numbers: this time <strong>seats in the house with 20% of the vote counted</strong>:</p>","elementId":"c8af9514-280c-4c5d-a246-ce8b2cfe6b74"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>National 42, Act 13, NZ First 12 = 67 seats</strong></p>","elementId":"e77262a4-730d-4229-af8a-a2258848284c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Labour 35, Greens, 16, Te PÄti MÄori 5 = 56 seats</strong></p>","elementId":"cad96e30-cdd3-4076-92e1-425564321a5e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Opportunity 7</strong></p>","elementId":"93b7ae9b-1cea-4e06-97d4-79cb0d672890"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Currently, <strong>it is projected there would be 130 seats in the house</strong>. For an explanation on this, refer to our overhang post from earlier.</p>","elementId":"1511432b-bbf8-4612-8af5-db6c8c3d450f"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794034539000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"06.55 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794034737000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"06.58 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794034689000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"06.58 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"06.58","title":"Seats in the house with 20% of the vote counted","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aee92218f08c30857a84526","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Another key feature of this election has been <strong>the possibility of an overhang</strong> – where a party wins more electorates than its share of the party vote.</p>","elementId":"83373b76-94ae-4dde-854f-23287a63f0a3"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>If that occurs, <strong>more seats will be added to parliament</strong> to make up the difference and could dictate which coalition can form a government.</p>","elementId":"5eb80608-c305-405a-b82d-7342343b1a98"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Te PÄti MÄori</strong> (the MÄori party) has been calling on supporters to engineer an overhang for its party – by voting for its candidates in the MÄori seats, and not giving them a party vote. This could benefit the left bloc.</p>","elementId":"1f75d4a5-9be1-4963-85e8-1f4d0aa9c27e"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Meanwhile, if <strong>National</strong> holds on to a good portion of its seats but its party vote falls short, that will give the party an edge to form a government but could see some of its most prominent MPs out of parliament.</p>","elementId":"1c9386f6-3a7d-40ac-91a9-15a34d3c0230"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":false,"summary":true},"blockCreatedOn":1794031210000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"06.00 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794037733000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"07.48 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794034235000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"06.50 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"06.50","title":"Overhang – what is it and how could it happen?","contributors":[{"name":"Eva Corlett","imageUrl":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2026/06/25/Eva_Corlett.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=6065537665705538dd75dfa82451653d","largeImageUrl":"https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2026/06/25/Eva_Corlett,_L.png?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=799495e212db2d70a7093ab19f815edb"}],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeec8d88f08c30857a845ad","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Some more numbers, with <strong>17% of the vote counted</strong>.</p>","elementId":"9dae17d9-b09b-4046-8566-f92d4eb187ca"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>National are on 30.5%, Labour 29%, the Greens 13%, Act 11.1%, NZ First 9.8%, Opportunity 5.4% and Te PÄti MÄori 0.5%</strong>.</p>","elementId":"e8a488d2-c1ea-4e76-b945-013d3a276fd2"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>We're going to need to start discussing the prospect of overhang seats, as it is heading towards that scenario. We'll have a post on this soon.</p>","elementId":"a4647444-2151-4b6f-9701-94a0d3f70412"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":false,"summary":true},"blockCreatedOn":1794033880000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"06.44 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794034059000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"06.47 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794034033000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"06.47 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"06.47","title":"National leading as 17% of vote counted","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"},{"id":"6aeeb7a78f082a3892f69f43","elements":[{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>In an election night that has come down to Chris vs Chris, it's important to know the difference.</strong></p>","elementId":"d7e6e592-e323-475f-b4f1-ca8afb10e094"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Christopher Luxon</strong>, 56, the incumbent, leader of the National party and PM since 2023, is the former chief executive of the country's national airline, Air <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/newzealand" data-component="auto-linked-tag">New Zealand</a>, and previously worked a slew of corporate jobs worldwide. He entered parliament in 2020, winning the Auckland electorate of Botany. A father-of-two, he is Christian but doesn't discuss his faith, and has emphasised his business credentials — in 2023, his party was elected on its economic 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Luxon and his wife Amanda smile while placing a ballot into a voting box","caption":"Christopher Luxon casts his vote alongside his wife Amanda at his electorate in Auckland.","credit":"Photograph: Anneke Smith/Stuff.nz.co/AP"}},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p><strong>Chris Hipkins</strong>, 48, the career politician who leads the center-left <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/labour-party-new-zealand" data-component="auto-linked-tag">Labour party</a>, is having a second crack at being PM tonight. Following the resignation of Jacinda Ardern in January 2023, Hipkins, also a father of two, took the reins for nine months ahead of that election, which his party lost. He's held the Remutaka electorate in parliament since 2008. Some voters still associate him with Covid-19 and strict lockdown measures, while others connect with his pledges for better healthcare and improved cost of 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data-component="auto-linked-tag">New Zealand</a> has voted and over the next few hours we'll find out the results of what has been cast as one of the tightest elections in recent memory.</strong></p>","elementId":"f058a78f-a055-44f7-a5cb-043ebca7054c"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>For weeks, the polls have shown no clear path to government for any potential coalition, left or right. Seemingly unimpressed by <strong>National</strong> and <strong>Labour</strong>, polls have tracked voters turning to the smaller parties, such as the centrist <strong>Opportunity</strong> party.</p>","elementId":"f475181e-34a5-44b1-b1d4-b2aed649f5df"},{"_type":"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement","html":"<p>Tonight could see Opportunity potentially end up as kingmaker, unless that pre-election support and hype has failed to translate into votes. Stay with us as we learn the answer to that big question and others, as we keep you across the counts and results as they come in. It's going to be an exciting night!</p>","elementId":"cf417a10-ba49-46c3-b258-e1fa25eb15c5"}],"attributes":{"pinned":false,"keyEvent":true,"summary":false},"blockCreatedOn":1794031210000,"blockCreatedOnDisplay":"06.00 GMT","blockLastUpdated":1794031210000,"blockLastUpdatedDisplay":"06.00 GMT","blockFirstPublished":1794031210000,"blockFirstPublishedDisplay":"06.00 GMT","blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone":"06.00","title":"Let the count begin","contributors":[],"primaryDateLine":"Sat 7 Nov 2026 13.12 GMT","secondaryDateLine":"First published on Sat 7 Nov 2026 06.00 GMT"}],"id":"key-events-carousel-mobile","renderingTarget":"Web","serverTime":1794068243076}”>

Key events

Over the coming days and weeks we will get a sense of the magnitude of Qiulae Wong and the Opportunity party's success tonight. Opportunity are currently projected to claim seven seats in parliament.

Wong has said that if she held the tiebreaker power, she was open to negotiating with either a conservative or a left-wing government and would deal first with whichever major party won the most votes.

The right-wing bloc might not need her, and Luxon has ruled out governing with Opportunity. Analysts say, however, that both major party leaders would likely answer the phone if Wong held the only path to power.

You can read more about the rise of Opportunity here, in this piece from Michelle Duff.

A couple of pics of Christopher Luxon as he arrived to speak to supporters tonight.

With 0.56% support, Te PÄti MÄori will be stoked with its result tonight, writes Jamie Tahana.

It seems odd, but the MÄori party has spent the election deliberately asking people not to give them their party vote. Instead, they asked for electorate votes only.

Just a reminder, seven of the seats in New Zealand's parliament are reserved for representatives of MÄori voters – you can read more about them here.

The party's co-leaders, Rawiri Waititi and Debbie Ngarewa-Packer, have comfortably won their respective seats of Waiariki and Te Tai Hauauru; Oriini Kaipara swept the Auckland seat of Tamaki Makaurau; Hana Rawhiti Maipi-Clarke, who hit international stardom for her haka in parliament, has cruised across the line in Hauraki-Waikato; while Aperahama Edwards holds a narrow lead over the Greens' HÅ«hana Lydon in the far North seat of Te Tai Tokerau.

That's five seats. But with a party vote so low, they will be five overhang seats.

Still, after a term that has seen plenty of in-fighting in Te PÄti MÄori, there are signs of frustration in the MÄori electorate, with Waititi and Ngarewa-Packer seeing significantly reduced majorities.

The Greens have fallen short of gaining their first ever MÄori electorate, but across the seats party vote has risen to about 40%, making the party a significant force in MÄori politics.

Labour, having been punished by the MÄori electorate in 2023, has improved, particularly in terms of party vote, and has claimed a new MP in Mananui Ramsden, who won the country's largest electorate, Te Tai Tonga.